Now that February 2026 has arrived…we are nine months from the general election for the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Due Dissidence co-host Keaton Weiss—as did co-host Russell Dobular—offered his predictions for 2026 with its year-end special.
(I was not available for the livestream.)
Weiss predicts, with the 2026 midterm elections, and thanks to how unpopular is Republican incumbent U.S. president Donald Trump, both the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate will be won over as pickups for majority control by the Democrats.
If both houses flip…I find it necessary to anticipate the 2026 Democrats may also win over a majority number of the nation’s 50 states’s governorships.
Since the 1910s, the decade of the 17th Amendment (direct elections of U.S. senators by states’s voters), there have been 28 midterm election cycles from 1914 through 2022.
Five of these cycles resulted in White House opposition-party switches for control for both houses of Congress.
In all such outcomes, a higher percentage of seats were established with winning over the U.S. House vs. U.S. Senate.
It also turns out that, with all five such midterm elections cycles—with party switches for both houses of Congress—the White House opposition party entered those years as the minority and then flipped for majority the nation’s states for governorships.
The above chart shows theses past midterm elections.
“H-v.-S” is the percentage spread, in seats, between the lower-vs.-upper chamber of Congress. Gubernatorial outcomes are shown last.
I will be taking this into account for when it is time to write and publish my predictions. That is…whether I think just the U.S. House or that both houses of Congress—along with a majority number of states’s governorships—will switch from Republican to Democratic.
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
(Next blog topic: Sunday, February 15, 2026.)
