Gallup: Biden Approval Is 38%

Gallup, in a published report from last Friday, February 23, 2024, has Democratic incumbent U.S. president Joe Biden at 38 percent in job approval. 

Details of the report are interesting. 

Inflation, as I would rank, is the No. 1 Election 2024 issue. 

Immigration has very recently developed into such a crisis that, electorally and according to Gallup, Biden is suffering from lowered approval on that issue even from self-identified Democratic voters. 

Link:

Biden's Job Approval Edges Down to 38%

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Nate Silver, from his Substack page Silver Bulletin, has joined the ranks of people who now perceive—or even predict—there will not be a second term for U.S. president Joe Biden.

Silver acknowledges the terrible poll numbers for the Democratic incumbent. He makes some reasonable points. And he, of course, gives us the typical Democratic narrative (which is propaganda).

It is worth reading.

(It was published last Monday, February 19, 2024.)

Link: 

It's time for the White House to put up or shut up

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Michigan—You’re Up!

Michigan is the last state on the schedule, in these presidential caucuses and primaries, just before the arrival next week of Super Tuesday [March 5, 2024].

On Tuesday, February 27, 2024, the Republicans—again, the party to watch (given it is an incumbent year and the president is a Democrat)—will have the No. 10 most-populous state and, with that, a leading bellwether to likely further boost former U.S. president Donald Trump to re-nomination.

Michigan is my home state.

Effective Tuesday 02.27.2024 @ 09:00 p.m. ET:

CNN, as just one source, has projected U.S. presidents Joe Biden and Donald Trump have won the 2024 presidential primaries in my home state Michigan.

‘The [Boulé] Is An Enemy To Black America’

In 2019, Phillip Scott talked about The Boulé. 

He explains and examines it in this video, titled “The Boule Is An Enemy To Black America,” which was published last year to YouTube from his channel, Phillip Scott Podcast. 

I recommend it because the timing is right—we are, here in February 2024, in Black History Month—and this speaks to a part of the history and dynamics of a People and U.S. politics. After all, this year is a presidential election.

I also thank Sabrina Salvati, a.k.a. Sabby Sabs, of speaking on her channel of Phillip Scott. Her doing so moved me to look him up…and I have since watched numerous of his videos.

Biden Losing Black Church Goers

In this excellent clip from a recent Sabby Sabs, much is shown on how the Democratic Party does not look at people who are Black as individual human beings.

A very telling example is a clip in which host Sabrina Salvati plays of a segment from CNN with Democratic Party insider Bakari Sellers. (It deserves a careful, maybe more than one, listen.)

This is very relevant, given we are in Black History Month, and the polls for Election 2024 are reporting decreased 2020-to-2024 national support, by persons who are Black, for Democratic incumbent U.S. president Joe Biden. 

In 2020, Biden nationally carried Blacks with 87 percent of their votes. Donald Trump received 12 percent. Biden won the U.S. Popular Vote by +4.45 percentage points. With a comparable U.S. Popular Vote of +3.86 percentage points, a 2012 re-elected Democrat Barack Obama nationally carried Blacks with 93 percent. Mitt Romney received 6 percent. A 2012 Obama carried Blacks by +87 percentage points in margin. Eight years later, a 2020 Biden carried Blacks by +75 percentage points in margin.

‘Exclusive: Tucker Carlson Interviews Vladimir Putin’

Last Thursday [02.08.2024] evening, Tucker Carlson published to YouTube his exclusive interview with Russia president Vladimir Putin.

I posted it in the Comments section just after 03:30 a.m. ET on Friday [02.09.2024].

This is worthy of a given week’s blog topic. 

It is now published to Progressives Chat.

Election 2024: Nine Months Out

Tuesday, November 5, 2024, the scheduled date for the 2024 United States presidential election, is exactly nine months from the date of this week’s blog topic.

Given this week is also the caucus and the primary [Republican] in Nevada, this may be good timing for an update on my perspective.

Refer to the above electoral map. All states colored in red carried in 2020 for an unseated Republican incumbent Donald Trump. All states in yellow carried in 2020 for then-Democratic challenger and pickup winner—and, now, incumbent—Joe Biden.

This is important because, historically, no past electoral map has ever been duplicated. This means, at minimum, one state will switch color from 2020 to 2024. If this year was to end up a Democratic hold, for re-election for Biden, most likely to flip would be North Carolina. (I addressed that state in this 2023 blog topic: “Next In Line”.) But, over the last several months, no source has reported North Carolina as a tossup; commonly the state has been rated as, at a minimum, Lean Republican [hold].

This is why, for illustrative purpose, I show the above states in yellow as the ones which can feasibility switch color/party. They are all…2020 Democratic-to-2024 Republican.

Considering Biden’s job approval is struggling for 40 percent (Gallup’s 2023 end-of-year job-approval performance for Biden is 39 percent), and with no 2020 Republican/Trump state in a feasible position to flip 2024 Democratic/Biden, this has become obvious.

I am reminded of Election 2008. In November 2007, one year out from the November 4, 2008 United States presidential election, [ABC World News Tonight] had a report. Then-hosted by Charles Gibson, and in a discussion with George Stephanopuolos, the numbers were in with regard for Republican incumbent U.S. president George W. Bush. His job approval was below 40 percent. (Gallup, with its tracking history for U.S. presidents’s job approval, shows Bush was under 40 percent following the 2006 midterm elections—the year his Republican Party saw the Democratic Party flip both houses of Congress—through the remainder of his presidency.) Wrong track number, for Bush, was over 70 percent. Gibson and Stephanopoulos, with acknowledging Bush was term-limited, honed in on what the chances were for the incumbent party, the Republican Party, for being able to win Election 2008. To hold the White House. Stephanopoulos told Gibson he talked with some Republicans on Capitol Hill. They told Stephanopoulos, “[Election 2008] was the Democrats’s to lose.” That, as observed by Stephanopoulos, “the tide of history is against them [the 2008 Republicans].”

I recognize the polls which came in in early-November 2023, and which were reported by numerous sources (including videos by The Jimmy Dore Show and Due Dissidence), were already saying plenty. The timing is following a 16-year parallel—2007-to-2008 and 2023-to-2024—also involving a low-approval U.S. president. The differences: Election 2024 has an incumbent U.S. president who is not term-limited—and is eligible for possible re-election—and the incumbent parties are the inverse. The tide of history is against…the 2024 Democrats (with or without re-nomination for Joe Biden). Election 2024 is…the Republicans’s to lose.