Election 2024: Here at Last!

Election Day—and, afterward, Election Night—has arrived.

Election 2024 is the 60th quadrennial presidential election in the history of the United States.

This blog topic publishes on Tuesday, November 5, 2024 at 12:00 a.m. ET for good reason: The Dixville Notch votes in New Hampshire occur just after midnight (Eastern Time). And they are considered the traditional beginning of Election Day.

According to Wikipedia’s page, ‘Dixville Notch: Midnight tradition voting’: “Dixville Notch is best known in connection with its longstanding midnight vote in the U.S. presidential election, including during the New Hampshire primary, the first primary election in the U.S. presidential nomination process. In a tradition that started in the 1960 election, all the eligible voters in Dixville Notch gather at midnight in the ballroom of The Balsams. The voters cast their ballots and the polls are officially closed when all of the registered voters have voted—sometimes merely one minute later. The results of the Dixville Notch vote in both the New Hampshire primary and the general election are traditionally broadcast around the country immediately afterwards.”

The above map, for the 2024 election for U.S. President, is initially presented with white coloring prior to the polls closing in a select number of states at 07:00 p.m. ET. I will be updating the map, some in the Comments section, and periodically and gradually with the top map until all the results are in.

I will be contributing to Due Dissidence during its Election Night coverage. I will not be appearing on camera. So, while I may be slow to do any updating here, during the evening, I will not neglect this site.

I encourage readers of Progressives Chat to post anything of mind—whether or not specific to these elections—as this week’s blog topic will be good through next Monday at 05:59 a.m. ET.

The next blog topic will publish, as normally scheduled, Monday, November 11, 2024 at 06:00 a.m. ET.

Gender Vote

The gender gap, as often referred, is Democrats carrying Females before they may also carry Males; Republicans carrying Males before they would also carry Females. The last elections in which both genders carried for a prevailing Republican and Democrat were in 1988 (George Bush) and 2008 (Barack Obama). I will be looking at the Gender Vote nationwide, for the U.S. Popular Vote, and state to state. (Not all states exit-poll.) Here were the results from Election 2020:

• Female (53): Joe Biden 56% • Donald Trump 41%

• Male (47): Joe Biden 45% • Donald Trump 53%

• Margins: D+15 (Female) • R+8 (Male)

• Math: D+15 – R+8 = D+7; divide by 2 = D+3.50; Adjusted (Actual Outcome): D+4.45

  

‘Swing States’: Bellwether Counties Watch

I consider the following “Swing States’s” counties which will indicate who will carry a given state. They have been reliably backing statewide presidential winners. 

🟣 Pennsylvania: Erie and Northampton

🟣 Michigan: Saginaw

🟣 Wisconsin: Door

🟣 Arizona: Maricopa

🟣 Georgia: None Applicable

🟣 North Carolina: New Hanover

🟣 Nevada: Washoe