Rethinking the ‘Blue Wave’

Last month, I wrote of my sensing that the 2018 midterm elections may be a Democratic wave to the tune of Team Blue winning majority control pickups of the U.S. House, U.S. Senate, and the majority number of state governorships.

Here is the link:

A 2018 Blue Wave

Nine months from today, Tuesday, November 6, 2018, will be the midterm elections. This is the 2018 midterm elections in which the Democratic Party—in response to Republican incumbent U.S. president Donald Trump with low-approval poll numbers (typically in the 30s percentile range)—should be the major party to win gains with flipping, at the very least, a new majority-control of the U.S. House. (When I write should, I am referring to historical voting pattern. Also: Historically, the U.S. House flips before the U.S. Senate when a new majority control goes to the party opposite the incumbent president in a non-presidential cycle.)

Thanks to the Democrats’ role in DACA, with their leader in the U.S. Senate “Wall Street’s favorite senator” Chuck Schumer of New York, it looks a little less certain. Truth is…I don’t care to see the Democrats—should they boast yet another lineup of nominated and re-nominated corporate Ds—become re-empowered.

An interesting FiveThirtyEight asks, “What Happened To The Democratic Wave?” It touches on the issue of the Democrats leading in the polls over the Republicans nationally by about +6 percentage points. In late-2017, the Ds’ polling margins for congressional preference were in double digits.

Here is the link:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-happened-to-the-democratic-wave/




If that isn’t enough, Counterpunch has a piece as well on this topic. It is titled “Democrats Could Lose Again.”

Here is the link:

http://www.counterpunch.org/2018/02/05/democrats-could-lose-again-this-fall/





 Note:  Due to timing, nine months out, I wanted to submit this on a Tuesday. (I have done that.) So, there will be no blog entry on Wednesday [February 7, 2018]. There will be the usual weekend threads on Friday [February 9, 2018]. One may post comments up to seven [7] days from the date of a blog entry’s thread.