Kim Iversen: ‘Predicting The Next Democratic Nominee’

In the above video, Kim Iversen speaks to a historic pattern she observes which may determine the 2020 Democratic nomination for president of the United States.

All 50 states and District of Columbia have been participating in the two major political parties’ presidential primaries since 1976 (Democratic) and 1980 (Republican).

With exception of 1992, a Democratic pickup of the presidency to Bill Clinton (who unseated then-Republican incumbent George Bush), all general-election nominees won at least one of Iowa or New Hampshire. (Clinton came closer to prevailing in New Hampshire.)

This is recognizing Iowa and New Hampshire—the first a caucus state; the second a primary state—as the two states selected to begin the presidential primaries season because, for both the Republican and Democrats, they are well-established predictors for who will end up with a party’s nomination. (Frankly, I see Iowa and New Hampshire, specifically, as the first two chosen states as yet another way for both parties to continue exerting as much control as they can over their nominating system. By the way: In 1976, New Hampshire was not the second state scheduled. That was Mississippi.)

The point is this: Kim Iversen, as of the published date of her video [Tuesday, December 3, 2019], senses which two 2020 Democratic presidential candidates may become positioned for the nomination—and that is reason enough for me to make her video this particular blog’s topic.

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Notice

During the remainder of this current month, December 2019, I will be scheduling the publishing of blog topics on Sundays and Thursdays, at 06:00 a.m. ET. This isn’t motivated by anything that may be ideal—Sundays/Thursdays vs. Mondays/Fridays—but this has played out, to some extent, recently. And it just so happens the upcoming Christmas Eve/Christmas Day and New Year’s Eve/New Year’s Day fall on Tuesdays and Wednesdays. Prior to those mid-week holidays, I think it makes sense to schedule blogs on the Sundays of those particular weeks. So, it dawns on me to simply run this schedule throughout the month of December 2019.