On Sunday, November 3, 2019, four weeks prior to this publishing date, I wrote and posted a one-year-out blog topic on anticipating and predicting Election 2020. (Link: Anticipating and Predicting Election 2020.)
I opted to predict the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination will go to Massachusetts U.S. senator Elizabeth Warren.
I am no longer confident that possible nomination will happen. This is with recognition of Warren making recent campaign calculations, especially on Medicare for All, that may become the catalyst for her to not go on to win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.
Warren was looking good for some time. But, during much of November, that changed. And several readers, and this includes me, have posted videos on Warren pulling away from Medicare for All. And, frankly, I have written it before and will do so once more: The Democratic Party will not win back the presidency of the United States with a nominee who does not truly support—and is not determined to deliver—Medicare for All.
The general take on who will win the nomination is commonly reduced to four people. In alphabetical order, they are: Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren. Dark horses are: Tulsi Gabbard and Andrew Yang. Others supposedly in contention, like Cory Booker, Kamala Harris, and Amy Klobuchar—and other recent candidacies, like Michael Bloomberg and Deval Patrick—are not viable. Anyone else that I did not mention are each just one more number.
I may write and post a future “Anticipating and Predicting Election 2020”—more likely with attaching the word Revised—but have not yet decided. If I do come up with such future topic, it may happen either with by the end of 2019 or in early 2020.
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